Match Info

NBL1 North

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Sunshine Coast Phoenix		Logan Thunder

	1	2
			Watch
	2.52	1.4
	2.87	1.37
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	2.88	1.4
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.29)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunshine Coast Phoenix
34%

Logan Thunder
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunshine Coast Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunshine Coast Phoenix's form might have worsened.

Logan Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Logan Thunder's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Coast Phoenix than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunshine Coast Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Thunder than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Logan Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Logan Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:93

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Preview

In recent matches, Sunshine Coast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Logan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sunshine Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Logan has had a series of home games.

Logan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sunshine Coast won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 251:263. (average 83.7:87.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sunshine Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:91.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunshine Coast Phoenix
Australian NBL1 North
24.05.26	Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Ipswich Force	123:88 ✺
15.05.26	Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Townsville Heat	86:75 ✺
09.05.26	Gold Coast Rollers - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	113:93 ✺
01.05.26	Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Cairns Marlins	94:95 ✺
18.04.26	North Gold Coast Seahawks - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	90:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLL
- Logan Thunder
Australian NBL1 North
29.05.26	Logan Thunder - North Gold Coast Seahawks	95:78 ✺
15.05.26	Logan Thunder - Gold Coast Rollers	96:104 ✺
09.05.26	Ipswich Force - Logan Thunder	83:102 ✺
01.05.26	Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors	103:77 ✺
25.04.26	Logan Thunder - Brisbane Capitals	93:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North
05.07.25	Logan Thunder - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	93:108
13.07.24	Logan Thunder - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	79:71
20.05.23	Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Logan Thunder	72:91

Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Logan Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide