Match Info

NBL1 East

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Sutherland Sharks		Illawarra Hawks 2

	1	2
	2.1	1.65
	1.91	1.7
	1.94	1.8
	1.93	1.76
	1.9	1.76
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)	1.73 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutherland Sharks
46.8%

Illawarra Hawks 2
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Illawarra Hawks 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illawarra Hawks 2 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illawarra Hawks 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sutherland Sharks - Illawarra Hawks 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:91

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Preview

Sutherland is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Illawarra Hawks 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Sutherland has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sutherland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 382:355. (average 95.5:88.8).

Including home match between the teams, Sutherland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutherland Sharks Basketball
Australian NBL1 East
05.07.26	Inner West Bulls - Sutherland Sharks	67:93 ✺
Australian NBL1 East Women
04.07.26	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Sutherland Sharks	63:88 ✺
Australian NBL1 East
27.06.26	Canberra Gunners - Sutherland Sharks	87:100 ✺
Australian NBL1 East Women
20.06.26	Hills Hornets - Sutherland Sharks	73:80 ✺
20.06.26	Sutherland Sharks - Basketball Australia Centre of Excellence	115:88
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Illawarra Hawks 2
Australian NBL1 East
05.07.26	Illawarra Hawks 2 - Sydney Comets	102:79 ✺
04.07.26	Illawarra Hawks 2 - Albury Wodonga Bandits	93:73 ✺
27.06.26	Hills Hornets - Illawarra Hawks 2	105:98 ✺
Australian NBL1 East Women
21.06.26	Illawarra Hawks 2 - Bankstown Bruins	92:77 ✺
20.06.26	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Illawarra Hawks 2	82:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East
25.04.26	Illawarra Hawks 2 - Sutherland Sharks	84:77
12.07.25	Illawarra Hawks 2 - Sutherland Sharks	112:120
24.06.23	Illawarra Hawks 2 - Sutherland Sharks	80:92
25.04.23	Sutherland Sharks - Illawarra Hawks 2	93:79

Sutherland Sharks - Illawarra Hawks 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide