Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Svitavy		Děčín

	1	2
	1.41	2.7
	1.42	2.65
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.7
	1.4	2.75
	1.37	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	2.76 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Svitavy
66.4%

Děčín
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Svitavy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Svitavy's performance.

Děčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Děčín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Svitavy than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Svitavy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Děčín than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Děčín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Svitavy - Děčín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Preview

Svitavy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Děčín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Svitavy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 40 head-to-head matches Svitavy won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 21 matches and goals 3072-3090.

Including matches at home between the teams Svitavy won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1480-1417.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Svitavy
Czech NBL
14.04.21	Svitavy - Ústí nad Labem	80:68 ✺
10.04.21	Sokol Hradec Kralove - Svitavy	96:89 ✺
07.04.21	NH Ostrava - Svitavy	65:85 ✺
03.04.21	Svitavy - Sokol Hradec Kralove	80:76 ✺
31.03.21	Olomoucko - Svitavy	71:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- BK Děčín
Czech NBL
14.04.21	Děčín - Sokol Hradec Kralove	100:74 ✺
11.04.21	NH Ostrava - Děčín	79:87 ✺
08.04.21	Ústí nad Labem - Děčín	97:94 ✺
05.04.21	Olomoucko - Děčín	78:73 ✺
02.04.21	Děčín - NH Ostrava	91:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech NBL
06.03.21	Děčín - Svitavy	93:82
30.01.21	Děčín - Svitavy	70:85
19.11.20	Svitavy - Děčín	78:69
07.03.20	Děčín - Svitavy	78:98
07.12.19	Svitavy - Děčín	86:66
05.10.19	Děčín - Svitavy	98:96 OT (77:77)
17.05.19	Děčín - Svitavy	88:85

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