Match Info

EUROPE: LATVIA-ESTONIAN LEAGUE

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	TLÜ Kalev		Latvijas Universitāte

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.8
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.11	1.7
	1.83	1.91
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.82
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.5)	1.8 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TLÜ Kalev
48.2%

Latvijas Universitāte
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TLÜ Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TLÜ Kalev's form might have worsened.

Latvijas Universitāte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Latvijas Universitāte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TLÜ Kalev than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TLÜ Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latvijas Universitāte than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Latvijas Universitāte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TLÜ Kalev - Latvijas Universitāte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:73

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches TLÜ Kalev won 3.

TLÜ Kalev has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Latvijas Universitāte is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

TLÜ Kalev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches TLÜ Kalev won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 620-619.

Including matches at home between the teams TLÜ Kalev won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 328-304.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TLÜ Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.11.23	BK Ventspils - TLÜ Kalev	93:66 ✺
09.11.23	Liepāja - TLÜ Kalev	87:63 ✺
01.11.23	TLÜ Kalev - Tartu Rock	63:77 ✺
29.10.23	TLÜ Kalev - TalTech	73:82 ✺
21.10.23	Rīgas Zeļļi - TLÜ Kalev	78:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Latvijas Universitāte Basketball
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.11.23	Latvijas Universitāte - Rīgas Zeļļi	59:88 ✺
11.11.23	Latvijas Universitāte - VEF Riga	72:85 ✺
08.11.23	TalTech - Latvijas Universitāte	73:81 ✺
03.11.23	Keila - Latvijas Universitāte	95:72 ✺
28.10.23	Tartu Rock - Latvijas Universitāte	90:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
04.02.23	Latvijas Universitāte - TLÜ Kalev	87:82
26.11.22	TLÜ Kalev - Latvijas Universitāte	76:75
06.03.22	Latvijas Universitāte - TLÜ Kalev	92:64
13.11.21	TLÜ Kalev - Latvijas Universitāte	74:67
29.02.20	TLÜ Kalev - Latvijas Universitāte	94:74
15.12.19	Latvijas Universitāte - TLÜ Kalev	83:80
19.01.19	TLÜ Kalev - Latvijas Universitāte	84:88

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