Match Info

Superleague - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Olympic Palace (Tbilisi)


	TSU Tbilisi		Orbi

	1	2
	1.34	2.85
	1.36	2.88
	1.34	2.9	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.35	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)	2.91 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSU Tbilisi
68.4%

Orbi
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSU Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TSU Tbilisi's performance.

Orbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orbi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSU Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TSU Tbilisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orbi than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orbi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

TSU Tbilisi - Orbi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Brenegan N.	0. Austin L.
7. Hardrict Q.	4. Freeman M.
5. McCauley C.	35. Lomashvili B. (C)
15. Pevadze A. (C)	9. Londaridze I.
11. Turdziladze G.	11. Moore S.
Substitutes
13. Aroshidze A.	15. Bell J.
33. Beqauri B.	1. Iagorashvili K.
17. Berishvili M.	3. Jiqia L.
0. Chechelashvili N.	25. Kharabadze L.
27. Drumwright M.	93. Narimanidze S.
12. Kopadze G.	33. Robakidze T.
14. Leonidze N.	6. Totladze N.
Coaches
. Lapanashvili L.	. Tomaradze I.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TSU won 3.

TSU is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orbi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

TSU may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, TSU is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, TSU won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 563:541. (average 93.8:90.2).

Including home matches between the teams, TSU won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 292:266. (average 97.3:88.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	TSU	1	1	0	88:77	2
5	Orbi	1	1	0	87:81	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC TSU Tbilisi
Georgian Superleague Basketball
28.04.26	CIU - TSU Tbilisi	73:80 ✺
23.04.26	TSU Tbilisi - CIU	85:74 ✺
15.04.26	TSU Tbilisi - Rashi	84:106 ✺
Georgian Cup Basketball
08.04.26	TSU Tbilisi - Margveti Tbilisi	83:70 ✺
07.04.26	VSA - TSU Tbilisi	76:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- BC Orbi
Georgian Superleague Basketball
03.05.26	Margveti Tbilisi - Orbi	72:79 ✺
30.04.26	Orbi - Margveti Tbilisi	91:76 ✺
28.04.26	Orbi - Margveti Tbilisi	70:78 ✺
25.04.26	Margveti Tbilisi - Orbi	84:95 ✺
23.04.26	Margveti Tbilisi - Orbi	89:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Superleague Basketball
07.02.26	TSU Tbilisi - Orbi	106:102 OT
17.10.25	Orbi - TSU Tbilisi	85:80
02.03.25	Orbi - TSU Tbilisi	101:90
27.10.24	TSU Tbilisi - Orbi	87:78
26.03.24	Orbi - TSU Tbilisi	89:101
28.10.23	TSU Tbilisi - Orbi	99:86

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