Match Info

Liga OTP banka - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Osnovna sola Hrusevec Sentjur (Sentjur)


	Tajfun Šentjur		Polzela

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.3
	1.48	2.5
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.54	2.32
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tajfun Šentjur
61.3%

Polzela
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tajfun Šentjur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Polzela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tajfun Šentjur than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tajfun Šentjur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polzela than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polzela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tajfun Šentjur - Polzela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Dornik J.	13. Fifolt Z.
5. Glavan O.	7. Muric D.
10. Pelko J. (C)	11. Urbanija N.
16. Seslija R.	19. Vasl M. (C)
7. Span J.	22. Vujasinovic D.
Substitutes
11. Belko N.	9. Baric N.
19. Bevc A.	15. Cizej M.
6. Durnik U.	21. Dragan N.
20. Mocnik D.	3. Ivancic N.
18. Pahernik T.	55. Razdevsek F.
	5. Strnad L.
Coaches
. Skoberne G.	. Jelen U.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tajfun Šentjur won 2.

Tajfun Šentjur is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polzela has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tajfun Šentjur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tajfun Šentjur won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1722:1615. (average 86.1:80.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tajfun Šentjur won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 788:699. (average 87.6:77.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Tajfun Šentjur
Slovenian Liga Basketball
08.12.25	Rogaška - Tajfun Šentjur	72:97 ✺
24.11.25	Tajfun Šentjur - Zlatorog Laško	87:92 ✺
15.11.25	Šenčur - Tajfun Šentjur	98:59 ✺
05.11.25	Tajfun Šentjur - Ilirija	66:84 ✺
01.11.25	Helios Suns Domžale - Tajfun Šentjur	91:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL
- KD Hopsi Polzela
Slovenian Liga Basketball
06.12.25	Polzela - Šenčur	81:85 ✺
19.11.25	Polzela - Ilirija	75:86 ✺
14.11.25	Helios Suns Domžale - Polzela	99:73 ✺
11.11.25	Polzela - Krka	80:98 ✺
02.11.25	Triglav Kranj - Polzela	99:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian Liga Basketball
04.10.25	Polzela - Tajfun Šentjur	89:70
Slovenian Cup Basketball
28.01.25	Tajfun Šentjur - Polzela	77:70
15.01.25	Polzela - Tajfun Šentjur	75:72
Slovenian Liga Basketball
23.03.24	Polzela - Tajfun Šentjur	100:86
16.12.23	Tajfun Šentjur - Polzela	102:84
Slovenian Cup Basketball
07.11.23	Polzela - Tajfun Šentjur	79:96
Slovenian Liga Basketball
13.10.23	Polzela - Tajfun Šentjur	73:78

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