Match Info

FRANCE: LFB Women - Round 6

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Tarbes Palais des Sports (Tarbes)


	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre		Lyon

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2.13	1.6
	2.04	1.72
	2.09	1.68
	2.2	1.62
	2.19	1.63
	2.13	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.64)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
43.5%

Lyon
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tarbes Gespe Bigorre's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarbes Gespe Bigorre than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarbes Gespe Bigorre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Lyon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Droguet C. (C)	19. Cleante T.
25. Fora N.	14. Malonga D.
11. Musa M.	8. Pasa F.
17. Sivka A.	9. Quevedo L. (C)
13. Zodia J.	2. Wojta J.
Substitutes
21. Barahman R.	1. Harris D.
27. Celerier J.	4. Jocyte J.
14. Ewodo M.	38. Lucet S.
9. Monasse L.	6. Mouyokolo J.
10. Poulain E.	10. Risacher A.
8. Strunc I.
Coaches
. Gomez F.	. Cabioch Y.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tarbes won 0.

Recent matches Tarbes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lyon is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Tarbes have a series of guest games.

Lyon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lyon to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tarbes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 1215:1465 (average 60.8:73.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarbes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 713:769 (average 64.8:69.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
French LFB
02.11.24	Landerneau Bretagne - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	62:75 ✺
Eurocup Women
30.10.24	Estudiantes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	67:61 ✺
24.10.24	Iraklis - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	33:119 ✺
French LFB
19.10.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	53:74 ✺
Eurocup Women
16.10.24	Atomerőmű Szekszárd - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	59:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW
- Lyon Basket Féminin
French LFB
02.11.24	Lyon - Basket Landes	89:85 OT ✺
Eurocup Women
30.10.24	Lyon - AEL Limassol	115:54 ✺
23.10.24	Gorzów Wielkopolski - Lyon	63:73 ✺
French LFB
19.10.24	Avenir Basket Chartres - Lyon	74:79 ✺
Eurocup Women
16.10.24	Lyon - Levharti Chomutov	86:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French LFB
02.02.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Lyon	72:78
14.10.23	Lyon - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	71:59
11.03.23	Lyon - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	56:54
French Cup Basketball Women
16.02.23	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Lyon	71:82
French LFB
04.12.22	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Lyon	52:64
26.03.22	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Lyon	66:63
20.11.21	Lyon - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	74:54

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