Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Icelandic Glacial hollin (Thorlakshofn) 🌤️ ...


	Thor Thorl		Stjarnan

	1	2
			Watch
	3.28	1.28
	3.1	1.26
	2.83	1.33	Watch
	3.74	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.83)	1.28 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 190.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Thorl
28.3%

Stjarnan
71.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Thorl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Thorl than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Thor Thorl - Stjarnan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:100

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Einarsson E. (C)	10. Agravanis I.
16. Lanaras R.	11. Gasic L.
5. Lugic L.	29. Gunnarsson O.
11. Ross J.	17. Jonsson B.
3. Thorbergsson S. O.	8. Steinarsson A. (C)
Substitutes
13. Agustsson D.	9. Bertone P.
14. Dzeletovic D.	21. Birnisson B. S.
23. Larusson K.	4. Hjartarson A. H.
1. Perdue I.	6. Jonasson A.
8. Sigurbergsson A.	16. LeDay S.
12. Szmiedowicz T.	3. Leifsson J.
27. Torfason B.	23. Snorrason D.
Coaches
. Jonsson L.	. Ragnarsson B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor Thorl won 3.

Thor Thorl is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stjarnan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Stjarnan is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thor Thorl won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1816:1833. (average 90.8:91.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor Thorl won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1122:1101. (average 93.5:91.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Thorl
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
14.11.25	Tindastóll - Thor Thorl	96:82 ✺
06.11.25	Thor Thorl - IR Reykjavík	100:98 ✺
30.10.25	Keflavík - Thor Thorl	86:82 ✺
23.10.25	Thor Thorl - Valur	117:119 OT ✺
16.10.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Thor Thorl	95:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Stjarnan Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
13.11.25	Stjarnan - Armann	114:88 ✺
06.11.25	Njarðvík - Stjarnan	101:105 ✺
31.10.25	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	96:95 ✺
24.10.25	Stjarnan - IR Reykjavík	91:93 ✺
17.10.25	Keflavík - Stjarnan	92:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
28.02.25	Thor Thorl - Stjarnan	94:91 OT
Icelandic Cup Basketball
09.12.24	Thor Thorl - Stjarnan	81:108
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
30.11.24	Stjarnan - Thor Thorl	124:82
12.01.24	Thor Thorl - Stjarnan	98:92
12.10.23	Stjarnan - Thor Thorl	80:84
24.03.23	Stjarnan - Thor Thorl	84:98
15.12.22	Thor Thorl - Stjarnan	128:104

Thor Thorl - Stjarnan