Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 14

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Toledo		Valladolid

	1	2
	1.92	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.92	1.68
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toledo
47%

Valladolid
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toledo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toledo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Toledo - Valladolid Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toledo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Preview

Toledo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valladolid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Valladolid has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toledo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 71:83.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Toledo
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
03.01.26	Cáceres CB - Toledo	95:96 OT ✺
21.12.25	Toledo - Córdoba	76:74 ✺
14.12.25	Clavijo - Toledo	78:75 ✺
10.12.25	Toledo - Circulo Gijón	94:77 ✺
06.12.25	Morón - Toledo	93:90 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- CB Ciudad de Valladolid
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Valladolid - Iraurgi SB	87:84 ✺
20.12.25	Valladolid - Cáceres CB	94:80 ✺
17.12.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	92:77 ✺
13.12.25	Valladolid - Jaen	98:61 ✺
10.12.25	Córdoba - Valladolid	82:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
04.10.25	Valladolid - Toledo	83:71

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