Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 9

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Torun (Toruń)

Referee: Pietrzak J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Toruń		Zielona Góra

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
			Watch
	1.58	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.21	Watch
	1.6	2.27
	1.63	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	2.24 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toruń
58.6%

Zielona Góra
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toruń than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Toruń - Zielona Góra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toruń will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Zielona Góra will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zielona Góra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Kulig D. (C)	10. Fayne P.
11. Langovic A.	0. Garrison C. J.
0. Smith A.	32. Maughmer J.
4. Szlachetka M.	3. Mazurczak A. (C)
3. Thomasson N.	13. Szumert J.
Substitutes
7. Brenk A.	12. Cartier P.
8. Kenig M.	1. Gorenczyk M.
12. Kunc A.	23. Sitnik M.
17. Lipinski H.	7. Sulima Krzysztof .
2. Persons T.	77. Woroniecki M.
6. Sowinski P.
Coaches
. Subotic S.	. Miloszewski A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toruń won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Toruń might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toruń won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1760:1669. (average 88:83.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toruń won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 949:883. (average 86.3:80.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Twarde Pierniki Toruń
Polish Basket Liga
15.11.25	Toruń - Anwil Włocławek	95:101 ✺
10.11.25	Toruń - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	109:79 ✺
02.11.25	Toruń - Czarni Słupsk	98:111 ✺
24.10.25	MOSiR Krosno - Toruń	81:88 ✺
18.10.25	Start Lublin - Toruń	90:85 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
15.11.25	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	77:91 ✺
09.11.25	Zielona Góra - Legia Warsaw	71:88 ✺
01.11.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	80:66 ✺
26.10.25	Zielona Góra - Dąbrowa Górnicza	82:70 ✺
17.10.25	Zielona Góra - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	75:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
30.01.25	Toruń - Zielona Góra	83:79
10.10.24	Zielona Góra - Toruń	68:79
11.01.24	Zielona Góra - Toruń	89:110
29.09.23	Toruń - Zielona Góra	85:74
04.02.23	Zielona Góra - Toruń	98:88
13.10.22	Toruń - Zielona Góra	72:89
11.02.22	Zielona Góra - Toruń	85:67

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