Match Info

Ligue 2 Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Gymnase Compans Caffarelli (Toulouse)


	Toulouse		Montbrison

	1	2
	1.29	3.18
	1.31	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	3.22 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 121.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
71.2%

Montbrison
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.

Montbrison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montbrison might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montbrison than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montbrison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toulouse - Montbrison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:58

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Preview

1st leg.

Toulouse is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Montbrison is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Toulouse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 377:295. (average 75.4:59).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 229:164. (average 76.3:54.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse Metropole Basket
French Ligue 2 Basketball Women
30.04.25	USO Mondeville Basket - Toulouse	61:74 ✺
27.04.25	Toulouse - USO Mondeville Basket	73:62 ✺
16.04.25	Cavigal Nice Basket 06 - Toulouse	58:60 ✺
12.04.25	Toulouse - Cavigal Nice Basket 06	60:47 ✺
05.04.25	Toulouse - Tronche Meylan	73:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- BC Montbrison Féminin
French Ligue 2 Basketball Women
30.04.25	Alençon - Montbrison	45:57 ✺
27.04.25	Montbrison - Alençon	60:57 ✺
19.04.25	Montbrison - Tronche Meylan	58:55 ✺
16.04.25	Tronche Meylan - Montbrison	76:63 ✺
12.04.25	Montbrison - Tronche Meylan	80:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2 Basketball Women
25.01.25	Toulouse - Montbrison	71:57
09.04.22	Montbrison - Toulouse	62:71
02.04.22	Toulouse - Montbrison	78:60
19.02.22	Montbrison - Toulouse	69:77
30.10.21	Toulouse - Montbrison	80:47

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