Match Info

LFB Women - Play Out - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gymnase Compans Caffarelli (Toulouse) 🌤️ ...


	Toulouse		Roche Vendée

	1	2
	1.53	2.25
	1.54	2.35
	1.66	2.06
	1.57	2.25
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.92)	2.25 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toulouse
58.9%

Roche Vendée
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.

Roche Vendée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roche Vendée might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roche Vendée than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roche Vendée could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toulouse - Roche Vendée Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:72

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Limouzin H. (C)	32. Igbokwe R.
21. Lindstrom J.	4. Johnson S.
32. Reimer T.	5. Landrum C.
23. San Antonio T.	28. Ousfar S. (C)
27. Traore A.	27. Preneau L.
Substitutes
20. Cisse M.	6. Diame M.
31. Dia A.	14. Loubens J.
4. Klewinski A.	25. Neau P.
5. Tardy L.	10. Sidibe P.
28. Toure F.
Coaches
. Noguera X.	. Gautier D.

Preview

Toulouse is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Roche Vendée is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 295:302. (average 73.8:75.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 145:147. (average 72.5:73.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Toulouse W	6	0	6	338:448	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse Metropole Basket
French LFB
28.03.26	Toulouse - Lattes Montpellier	66:80 ✺
24.03.26	Landerneau Bretagne - Toulouse	72:63 ✺
07.03.26	Toulouse - Bourges Basket	55:84 ✺
21.02.26	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - Toulouse	79:78 ✺
15.02.26	Toulouse - Union Angers	52:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Roche Vendée BC
French LFB
28.03.26	Roche Vendée - Avenir Basket Chartres	83:92 ✺
24.03.26	Roche Vendée - Flammes Carolo	70:85 ✺
06.03.26	Lyon - Roche Vendée	90:63 ✺
22.02.26	Roche Vendée - Basket Landes	67:79 ✺
15.02.26	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Roche Vendée	79:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French LFB
07.01.26	Roche Vendée - Toulouse	83:74
04.10.25	Toulouse - Roche Vendée	66:65
25.03.23	Roche Vendée - Toulouse	72:76
17.12.22	Toulouse - Roche Vendée	79:82

Upcoming Matches