Match Info

B.League

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yoyogi National Stadium (Tokyo)


	Toyota Alvark		Utsunomiya Brex

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.39
	2.24	1.55	Watch
	2.81	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.24)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toyota Alvark
34.1%

Utsunomiya Brex
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toyota Alvark has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toyota Alvark's form might have worsened.

Utsunomiya Brex has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utsunomiya Brex's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toyota Alvark than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toyota Alvark, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utsunomiya Brex than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utsunomiya Brex, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toyota Alvark - Utsunomiya Brex Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alvark will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvark (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Ando S.	33. Edwards G.
2. Okura S.	42. Fotu I.
75. Osakabe T.	6. Hiejima M.
22. Rossiter R.	25. Newbill D.
11. Saiz S.	12. Takashima S.
Substitutes
10. Baranski Z. (C)	11. Aoki B.
17. Foster M.	9. Endo Y.
25. Fukuzawa K.	17. Hoshikawa K.
21. Hiraiwa G.	18. Ikaruga S.
13. Kikuchi S.	15. Ishikawa Y.
5. Nakamura H.	1. McLean J.
4. Parmer J.	10. Takeuchi K.
	13. Watanabe H. (C)
Coaches
. Adomaitis D.	. Coronel Z.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvark won 2.

In recent matches, Alvark has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Utsunomiya Brex is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Utsunomiya Brex is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alvark won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1403:1376. (average 70.2:68.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvark won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 684:688. (average 68.4:68.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toyota Alvark Tokyo
Japan B League Premier
09.11.25	Tokyo SunRockers - Toyota Alvark	90:91 OT ✺
08.11.25	Tokyo SunRockers - Toyota Alvark	83:66 ✺
05.11.25	Toyota Alvark - Sendai 89ers	94:80 ✺
02.11.25	Toyota Alvark - Chiba Jets	69:81 ✺
01.11.25	Toyota Alvark - Chiba Jets	78:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Utsunomiya Brex
Japan B League Premier
09.11.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Utsunomiya Brex	103:76 ✺
08.11.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Utsunomiya Brex	70:84 ✺
05.11.25	Utsunomiya Brex - Yokohama B-Corsairs	86:76 ✺
02.11.25	Utsunomiya Brex - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	88:78 ✺
01.11.25	Utsunomiya Brex - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	93:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
05.10.25	Toyota Alvark - Utsunomiya Brex	64:66
03.10.25	Toyota Alvark - Utsunomiya Brex	56:81
23.04.25	Utsunomiya Brex - Toyota Alvark	61:55
05.03.25	Toyota Alvark - Utsunomiya Brex	63:61
21.04.24	Utsunomiya Brex - Toyota Alvark	61:70
20.04.24	Utsunomiya Brex - Toyota Alvark	80:76
15.10.23	Toyota Alvark - Utsunomiya Brex	70:71

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