Match Info

B.League

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Biwajima Sports Center (Nagoya)


	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya		Toyota Alvark

	1	2
	2.85	1.37
	3.05	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.94	1.35
	3.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (1.96)	1.34 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya
30.6%

Toyota Alvark
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya's form might have worsened.

Toyota Alvark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toyota Alvark's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyota Alvark than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toyota Alvark, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Toyota Alvark Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Toyotsu Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alvark will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Toyotsu Nagoya (votes: 2 - 50%). Alvark (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 154.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Lopez F.	17. Foster M.
3. Namizato N.	5. Nakamura H.
54. O'Mara S.	75. Osakabe T.
0. Pickett J.	22. Rossiter R.
23. Yasuoka R.	11. Saiz S.
Substitutes
12. Hiramatsu K.	9. Ando S.
7. Ito H.	10. Baranski Z. (C)
17. Kanda S.	60. Fieler C.
15. Murphy M.	25. Fukuzawa K.
21. Sasayama T. (C)	21. Hiraiwa G.
6. Sudo T. T.	13. Kikuchi S.
10. Sugimoto T.
Coaches
. Oldham C.	. Adomaitis D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toyotsu Nagoya won 2.

Toyotsu Nagoya is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alvark is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alvark may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Toyotsu Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 556:607. (average 69.5:75.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toyotsu Nagoya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 187:223. (average 62.3:74.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya
Japan B League Premier
21.12.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	83:87 OT ✺
20.12.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	78:80 ✺
14.12.25	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Altiri Chiba	101:105 OT ✺
13.12.25	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Altiri Chiba	93:77 ✺
10.12.25	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Toyama Grouses	90:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWLWW
- Toyota Alvark Tokyo
Japan B League Premier
21.12.25	Toyota Alvark - Levanga Hokkaido	84:80 ✺
20.12.25	Toyota Alvark - Levanga Hokkaido	81:59 ✺
EASL Basketball
17.12.25	Toyota Alvark - Changwon LG Sakers	92:73 ✺
Japan B League Premier
14.12.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Toyota Alvark	67:93 ✺
13.12.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Toyota Alvark	82:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
30.03.25	Toyota Alvark - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	76:72
29.03.25	Toyota Alvark - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	64:70
12.03.25	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Toyota Alvark	80:68
23.10.24	Toyota Alvark - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	81:77
22.10.23	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Toyota Alvark	49:83
21.10.23	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Toyota Alvark	58:72
16.04.23	Toyota Alvark - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	83:65

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