Match Info

Lega A - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaVerde (Villorba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Treviso Basket		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.76
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.8
	2.13	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.98)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso Basket
46%

Derthona Basket Tortona
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Treviso Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Abdur-Rahkman M.	4. Gorham J.
7. Croswell E.	5. Manjon E.
55. Macura J. P.	17. Olejniczak D.
12. Pinkins K.	12. Strautins A.
2. Weber B.	1. Vital C.
Substitutes
0. Cappelletti A.	11. Baldasso T.
15. Chillo M.	19. Biligha P.
11. Miaschi F.	7. Chapman B.
29. Pellegrino F.	3. Hubb P.
43. Radosevic L.	6. Pecchia A.
44. Spinazze T.	25. Riismaa J.
9. Torresani D.	9. Tandia L.
Coaches
. Nicola M.	. Fioretti M.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 855:823. (average 85.5:82.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Treviso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 396:391. (average 79.2:78.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Treviso	3	2	1	279:290	4
13	Tortona	3	1	2	257:294	2

Last Results with these Odds

Treviso Basket - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.49%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
29.03.26	Dinamo Sassari - Treviso Basket	103:108 ✺
22.03.26	Treviso Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	97:94 ✺
15.03.26	Varese - Treviso Basket	91:86 ✺
08.03.26	Treviso Basket - Venezia	90:91 ✺
09.02.26	Treviso Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.03.26	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	97:87 ✺
22.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Cantù	100:73 ✺
08.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:78 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:77 ✺
21.02.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	84:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
12.10.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Treviso Basket	107:95
19.04.25	Treviso Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:91
07.12.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Treviso Basket	90:95
05.05.24	Treviso Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	87:74
23.12.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Treviso Basket	68:82
29.01.23	Treviso Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	79:87
26.12.22	Derthona Basket Tortona - Treviso Basket	90:95

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