Match Info

Lega A - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaVerde (Villorba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Treviso Basket		Venezia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.4
	2.85	1.4	Watch
	3.03	1.38
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	3.05	1.4
	2.89	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.71)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso Basket
32.8%

Venezia
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treviso Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Treviso Basket - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Treviso will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Venezia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Treviso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cappelletti A.	1. Cole R.J.
7. Croswell E.	2. Horton C.
55. Macura J. P.	22. Parks J.
12. Pinkins K.	45. Valentine D.
2. Weber B.	33. Wiltjer K.
Substitutes
5. Abdur-Rahkman M.	8. Bowman K.
15. Chillo M.	7. Candi L.
11. Miaschi F.	5. De Nicolao G.
29. Pellegrino F.	4. Lever A.
43. Radosevic L.	11. Nikolic S.
44. Spinazze T.	00. Tessitori A.
9. Torresani D.	10. Wheatle C.
Coaches
. Vitucci F.	. Spahija N.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 2.

Treviso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Venezia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Venezia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1381:1521. (average 72.7:80.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Treviso won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 739:742. (average 82.1:82.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Treviso	2	2	0	202:184	4
4	Venezia	2	2	0	172:155	4

Last Results with these Odds

Treviso Basket - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.02.26	Treviso Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:76 ✺
01.02.26	Trieste - Treviso Basket	84:76 ✺
25.01.26	Treviso Basket - Basket Trento	67:88 ✺
18.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	88:77 ✺
11.01.26	Treviso Basket - Varese	86:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Umana Venezia
Italian Cup Basketball
19.02.26	Venezia - Derthona Basket Tortona	87:95 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.02.26	Venezia - Reggiana	79:81 ✺
Eurocup
11.02.26	Venezia - Hapoel Jerusalem	83:80 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.02.26	Napoli Basket - Venezia	64:79 ✺
Eurocup
04.02.26	Basquet Manresa - Venezia	75:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
05.01.26	Venezia - Treviso Basket	87:66
04.05.25	Treviso Basket - Venezia	83:72
29.09.24	Venezia - Treviso Basket	75:78
21.04.24	Venezia - Treviso Basket	91:78
22.10.23	Treviso Basket - Venezia	77:82
Club Friendly Basketball
24.09.23	Treviso Basket - Venezia	75:93
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.05.23	Venezia - Treviso Basket	107:73

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