Match Info

Lega A - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Referee: Capotorto G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	LBA TV


	Varese		Treviso Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.92
	1.47	2.61	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.48	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	2.77 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
66%

Treviso Basket
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Treviso Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Varese aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Treviso Basket aligns with the current prediction.

Varese - Treviso Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Treviso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 - Treviso (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Treviso (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Alviti D.	0. Cappelletti A.
11. Iroegbu I.	13. Croswell E.
4. Moore T.	55. Macura J. P.
8. Nkamhoua O.	12. Pinkins K.
15. Renfro N.	2. Weber B.
Substitutes
19. Bergamin M.	5. Abdur-Rahkman M.
55. Freeman A.	15. Chillo M.
34. Ladurner M.	11. Miaschi F.
13. Librizzi M.	29. Pellegrino F.
7. N'Guessan E.	43. Radosevic L.
1. Stewart C.	44. Spinazze T.
5. Villa M.	9. Torresani D.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Nicola M.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2.

Recent performances by Varese have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Treviso is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Varese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Varese will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Varese won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1142:1142. (average 81.6:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 510:508. (average 85:84.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Treviso	2	2	0	202:184	4
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.03.26	Udine - Varese	81:92 ✺
14.02.26	Varese - Basket Brescia	98:96 ✺
08.02.26	Basket Trento - Varese	84:78 ✺
01.02.26	Varese - Reggiana	61:76 ✺
26.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Varese	74:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLW
- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.03.26	Treviso Basket - Venezia	90:91 ✺
09.02.26	Treviso Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:76 ✺
01.02.26	Trieste - Treviso Basket	84:76 ✺
25.01.26	Treviso Basket - Basket Trento	67:88 ✺
18.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	88:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
11.01.26	Treviso Basket - Varese	86:83
23.03.25	Treviso Basket - Varese	88:86
12.01.25	Varese - Treviso Basket	92:89
28.04.24	Varese - Treviso Basket	95:100
06.01.24	Treviso Basket - Varese	96:101
02.04.23	Treviso Basket - Varese	95:97
30.10.22	Varese - Treviso Basket	87:85

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