Match Info

BBL - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Trier (Trier)


	Trier		Ratiopharm Ulm

	1	2
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.6
	2.35	1.56
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.69	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2)	1.55 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 999.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-999)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trier
39%

Ratiopharm Ulm
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trier's form might have worsened.

Ratiopharm Ulm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ratiopharm Ulm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trier than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratiopharm Ulm than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ratiopharm Ulm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Trier - Ratiopharm Ulm Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trier will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ulm will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5, OT - Trier (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1000

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Adekunle N.	15. Simon J.
9. Hollersbacher M.	4. Ledlum C.
12. Linssen M.	10. Osborne M.
4. Guillozet C.	7. Jensen T. B.
15. Roland J. J.	13. Smith M.
Substitutes
2. Akanno D.	3. Cwik J.
1. Ashworth S.	5. Diakite M.
24. JJ Mann	23. Garavaglia D.
20. King U.	8. Omog N.
21. Rapieque E.	43. Sengfelder C.
33. Zirbes M.
Coaches
. Schneider J.	. Harrelson T.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trier won 1.

In recent matches, Trier has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ulm is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Trier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Trier has had a series of away games.

Ulm might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Trier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 451:498. (average 64.4:71.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Trier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 232:253. (average 77.3:84.3).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Ulm: 4.75% Trier: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Trier	4	3	1	405:361	6
10	Ulm	4	2	2	318:334	4

Last Results with these Odds

Ratiopharm Ulm - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 52.36%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TBB Trier
German BBL
30.12.25	Niners Chemnitz - Trier	96:84 ✺
28.12.25	Bayern München - Trier	94:83 ✺
26.12.25	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Trier	102:83 ✺
13.12.25	Trier - Baskets Bonn	102:98 OT ✺
06.12.25	Ludwigsburg - Trier	80:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW
- Ratiopharm Ulm
Eurocup
02.01.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Lietkabelis	79:89 ✺
German BBL
29.12.25	Ratiopharm Ulm - s.Oliver Wurzburg	66:61 ✺
27.12.25	Brose Bamberg - Ratiopharm Ulm	83:106 ✺
20.12.25	ALBA Berlin - Ratiopharm Ulm	66:67 ✺
Eurocup
17.12.25	Panionios - Ratiopharm Ulm	69:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
24.04.15	Trier - Ratiopharm Ulm	78:83
29.11.14	Ratiopharm Ulm - Trier	93:77
01.05.14	Trier - Ratiopharm Ulm	72:84
26.10.13	Ratiopharm Ulm - Trier	79:84
03.02.13	Trier - Ratiopharm Ulm	82:86
26.12.12	Ratiopharm Ulm - Trier	73:58
21.04.12	Ratiopharm Ulm - Trier	N/A

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