Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 10

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Allianz Dome (Trieste)


	Trieste		Brindisi

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.9	1.83
	1.85	1.95
	1.79	1.95
	1.88	1.98
	1.84	2	Watch
	1.82	2.01	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.03)	1.96 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
51.7%

Brindisi
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trieste's performance.

Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brindisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trieste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brindisi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brindisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Trieste - Brindisi Predictions

Users Predictions: Trieste will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trieste won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Trieste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Trieste to win the game is with odds 1.92.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Trieste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 817-938.

Including matches at home between the teams Trieste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 380-412.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.12.22	Reggiana - Trieste	79:84 ✺
26.11.22	Trieste - Basket Brescia	90:91 OT (81:81) ✺
20.11.22	Olimpia Milano - Trieste	98:81 ✺
06.11.22	Trieste - Dinamo Sassari	75:69 ✺
30.10.22	Napoli Basket - Trieste	92:95 OT (80:80) ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLLWW
- Basket Brindisi
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.12.22	Brindisi - Venezia	75:63 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
30.11.22	Tallinna Kalev - Brindisi	73:72 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.11.22	Virtus Bologna - Brindisi	98:68 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
23.11.22	Brindisi - Donar Groningen	81:57 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
20.11.22	Brindisi - Basket Pesaro	74:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
24.04.22	Brindisi - Trieste	96:87
26.09.21	Trieste - Brindisi	84:82 OT (70:70)
17.05.21	Trieste - Brindisi	77:79
14.05.21	Brindisi - Trieste	86:54
13.05.21	Brindisi - Trieste	85:64
27.02.21	Brindisi - Trieste	81:74
Italian Cup Basketball
12.02.21	Brindisi - Trieste	93:81

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