Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 - ROUND 9

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Trieste		Cividale

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.39	2.65	Watch
	1.47	2.54
	1.48	2.54
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.67	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.3)	2.55 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
63.6%

Cividale
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trieste's form might have worsened.

Cividale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cividale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trieste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cividale than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cividale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Trieste - Cividale Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Trieste will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Cividale will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cividale: 82.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Preview

Recent matches Trieste is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cividale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cividale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trieste will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
05.11.23	Trieste - Udine	57:54 ✺
01.11.23	Assigeco Piacenza - Trieste	84:87 ✺
29.10.23	Verona - Trieste	81:69 ✺
22.10.23	Trieste - Fortitudo Bologna	65:84 ✺
15.10.23	Baltur Cento - Trieste	94:89 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- UEB Cividale
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
04.11.23	Cividale - Rimini	82:77 OT ✺
01.11.23	Forlì - Cividale	84:78 OT ✺
28.10.23	Cividale - Pallacanestro Nardò	75:79 ✺
22.10.23	Udine - Cividale	90:80 ✺
15.10.23	Assigeco Piacenza - Cividale	87:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

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