Match Info

ACB - Round 7

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Murcia (Murcia)

Referee: Fernandez F. (Esp)


	UCAM Murcia		CB Breogán

	1	2
	1.15	5.75	Watch
	1.18	5	Watch
	1.18	5.11
	1.34	2.94	Watch
	1.2	4.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)	4.72 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
79.6%

CB Breogán
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

CB Breogán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CB Breogán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CB Breogán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: UCAM Murcia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Nakic T.	1. Cook K.
2. Raieste S.	18. Sakho J.
0. Cacok D.	22. Brankovic D.
31. Ennis D.	47. Kurucs A.
5. DeJulius D.	4. Russell D.
Substitutes
15. Cate E.	10. Alonso F.
21. Diagne M.	8. Apic D.
13. Falk W.	17. Aranitovic A.
1. Forrest M.	0. Dibba B.
24. Hicks Z.	19. Mavra D.
12. Radebaugh J.	23. Quintela E.
8. Sant-Roos H.
Coaches
. Alonso S.	. Casimiro L.

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 5.

Murcia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Breogán has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murcia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 780:719. (average 78:71.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 384:344. (average 76.8:68.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup
11.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Bosna	87:63 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Basquet Manresa	84:65 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
04.11.25	Rilski Sportist - UCAM Murcia	61:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Barcelona - UCAM Murcia	78:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Start Lublin - UCAM Murcia	75:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
08.11.25	CB Breogán - Gran Canaria 2014	81:92 ✺
01.11.25	CB Breogán - Granada	95:74 ✺
25.10.25	Barcelona - CB Breogán	100:85 ✺
18.10.25	Basket Zaragoza - CB Breogán	84:88 ✺
12.10.25	CB Breogán - Valencia	90:113 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
22.03.25	CB Breogán - UCAM Murcia	70:86
16.11.24	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	79:63
12.05.24	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	68:61
17.12.23	CB Breogán - UCAM Murcia	74:83
07.05.23	CB Breogán - UCAM Murcia	60:65
29.09.22	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	70:84
23.03.22	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	91:72

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