Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Round 25

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Palazzetto Dello Sport (Umbertide)


	Umbertide		Alpo Villafranca

	1	2
	2	1.67
	2	1.75
	2.39	1.49	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.65)	1.65 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umbertide
43.7%

Alpo Villafranca
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umbertide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umbertide's performance.

Alpo Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alpo Villafranca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umbertide than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpo Villafranca than the current prediction. (+2%)

Umbertide - Alpo Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Amatori G.	32. Gregori A.
18. Baldi B.	12. Parmesani F.
11. Gianangeli A.	11. Peresson A.
7. Sorrentino G.	21. Rainis C.
9. Tomasoni R.	24. Soglia S.
Substitutes
6. Bartolini A.	4. Di Maria R.
0. Del Sole L.	15. Furlani E.
17. Gaia V.	19. Mancini G.
10. Giuliobello B.	16. Reschiglian G.
13. Paolocci G. (C)	7. Rosignoli M. (C)
5. Postigo A.	8. Todeschini J.
Coaches
. Staccini M.	. Soave N.

Preview

Umbertide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alpo Villafranca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alpo Villafranca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alpo Villafranca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Umbertide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 194:198. (average 64.7:66).

Including home match between the teams, Umbertide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 69:68.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Umbertide W	1	0	1	70:73	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Femminile Umbertide
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
22.03.26	Virtus Eirene Ragusa - Umbertide	70:62 ✺
08.03.26	Umbertide - Ancona	65:60 ✺
28.02.26	Matelica - Umbertide	52:65 ✺
22.02.26	Umbertide - Treviso	94:58 ✺
14.02.26	BC Bolzano - Umbertide	76:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL
- Alpo Villafranca DI Verona
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
21.03.26	Alpo Villafranca - Faenza	84:79 ✺
14.03.26	Treviso - Alpo Villafranca	62:129 ✺
07.03.26	Alpo Villafranca - Cagliari	69:54 ✺
28.02.26	Rovigo - Alpo Villafranca	71:63 ✺
14.02.26	Alpo Villafranca - Virtus Eirene Ragusa	64:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
12.12.25	Alpo Villafranca - Umbertide	69:56
06.04.24	Alpo Villafranca - Umbertide	61:69
17.12.23	Umbertide - Alpo Villafranca	69:68

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