Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Round 8

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Palazzetto Dello Sport (Umbertide)


	Umbertide		Matelica

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	1.98	1.71	Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.07)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 125.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umbertide
42.5%

Matelica
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umbertide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Matelica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umbertide than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Umbertide - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 61:65

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Amatori G.	7. Bacchini C.
18. Baldi B.	16. Bonvecchio I.
11. Gianangeli A.	12. Gramaccioni B. (C)
7. Sorrentino G.	35. Pilakouta E.
9. Tomasoni R.	3. Trzeciak O.
Substitutes
6. Bartolini A.	11. Battellini A.
0. Del Sole L.	5. Cabrini A.
17. Gaia V.	9. Chiovato F.
10. Giuliobello B.	24. Lizzi E.
13. Paolocci G. (C)	15. Lo Russo F.
	30. Offor G.
	14. Zamparini A.
Coaches
. Staccini M.	. Matassini A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umbertide won 1.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Matelica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Umbertide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 394:417. (average 56.3:59.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Umbertide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 167:185. (average 55.7:61.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Femminile Umbertide
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
08.11.25	Umbertide - BC Bolzano	59:48 ✺
02.11.25	Umbertide - Faenza	58:56 ✺
26.10.25	Golfobasket - Umbertide	66:69 ✺
19.10.25	Umbertide - Futurosa Trieste	70:62 ✺
11.10.25	Rovigo - Umbertide	78:80 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Basket Matelica
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
09.11.25	Golfobasket - Matelica	54:56 ✺
01.11.25	Matelica - Ancona	83:57 ✺
25.10.25	Rovigo - Matelica	57:70 ✺
19.10.25	Matelica - Cagliari	86:51 ✺
04.10.25	Alpo Villafranca - Matelica	52:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
02.03.25	Umbertide - Matelica	51:57
23.11.24	Matelica - Umbertide	62:61
25.02.24	Umbertide - Matelica	67:54
18.11.23	Matelica - Umbertide	64:59
Italian Serie A2 South Basketball Women
05.04.23	Matelica - Umbertide	57:51
21.12.22	Umbertide - Matelica	49:74
11.12.21	Matelica - Umbertide	49:56

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