Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday

Location: Arena UNIFACISA (Campina Grande)


	Unifacisa		Cerrado

	1	2
	1.18	4.4	Watch
	1.2	4.1
	1.21	3.75	Watch
	1.32	4.02
	1.25	4.03
	1.29	3.5
	1.26	3.54	Watch
	1.17	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	3.98 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unifacisa
76.3%

Cerrado
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unifacisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unifacisa's performance.

Cerrado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerrado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unifacisa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unifacisa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrado than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerrado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unifacisa - Cerrado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:74

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unifacisa won 4.

Recent matches Unifacisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerrado is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerrado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unifacisa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Unifacisa to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Unifacisa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 478-439.

Including matches at home between the teams Unifacisa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 232-225.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unifacisa Basquete
Brazilian NBB
27.12.23	Unifacisa - Brasília Basquete	93:69 ✺
23.12.23	Flamengo - Unifacisa	101:73 ✺
20.12.23	Botafogo - Unifacisa	87:104 ✺
18.12.23	Vasco da Gama - Unifacisa	81:71 ✺
08.12.23	Unifacisa - União Corinthians	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW
- Cerrado Basquete
Brazilian NBB
27.12.23	Basquete Cearense - Cerrado	87:76 ✺
21.12.23	Cerrado - São Paulo	82:74 ✺
18.12.23	Cerrado - Paulistano	64:68 ✺
11.12.23	Bauru - Cerrado	90:81 ✺
09.12.23	Franca - Cerrado	80:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
13.01.23	Cerrado - Unifacisa	73:83
15.10.22	Unifacisa - Cerrado	90:79
15.04.22	Unifacisa - Cerrado	75:65
11.01.22	Cerrado - Unifacisa	74:88
09.02.21	Unifacisa - Cerrado	67:81
02.12.20	Cerrado - Unifacisa	67:75

Unifacisa - Cerrado: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide