Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavillón da Malata (Ferrol)


	Universitario Ferrol		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.55	2.2	Watch
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.48	2.47
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	2.35 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario Ferrol
60.7%

Joventut Badalona
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario Ferrol than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Universitario Ferrol - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Daniels D.	20. Brewer B.
5. Erjavec K.	12. Dembele A.
22. Joiner M.	4. Ramette E.
13. Melia C.	10. Santibanez I.
11. Millan B.	17. Sivka A.
Substitutes
30. Baldonedo E.	21. Cotano R.
17. Fornos I.	33. Ebo L.
99. Joris I.	15. Howard R.
20. Rodriguez Dominguez E.	11. Lamana L.
3. Samson C. C.	5. Piera L.
1. Sanchez A.
9. Sotolova K.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferrol could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Ferrol will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 155:173. (average 77.5:86.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 65:76.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Ferrol W	4	2	2	277:310	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario Ferrol
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
28.12.25	Universitario Ferrol - Porta XI Ensino	71:67 ✺
21.12.25	CB Avenida - Universitario Ferrol	81:75 ✺
Eurocup Women
18.12.25	Universitario Ferrol - San Giovanni	66:60 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
14.12.25	Jairis - Universitario Ferrol	81:62 ✺
Eurocup Women
10.12.25	San Giovanni - Universitario Ferrol	62:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW
- Joventut Badalona W
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
28.12.25	Joventut Badalona - Valencia	71:84 ✺
20.12.25	Estepona - Joventut Badalona	66:62 ✺
14.12.25	CB Avenida - Joventut Badalona	68:67 ✺
07.12.25	Joventut Badalona - Porta XI Ensino	69:63 ✺
03.12.25	Joventut Badalona - Leganés	71:65 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
12.01.25	Joventut Badalona - Universitario Ferrol	97:90
17.11.24	Universitario Ferrol - Joventut Badalona	65:76

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