Match Info

NBB

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Ginásio Poliesportivo Pref. Arno João Frantz (Santa Cruz do Sul)

Referee: Alves C. (Bra)


	União Corinthians		Basquete Cearense

	1	2
	1.04	9	Watch
	1.03	7.8	Watch
	1.32	3.31
	1.07	6.88
	1.1	6.5
	1.05	7.3	Watch
	1.05	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.38)	7.04 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Corinthians
86.5%

Basquete Cearense
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Corinthians's performance.

Basquete Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basquete Cearense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Corinthians than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Corinthians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basquete Cearense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

União Corinthians - Basquete Cearense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 162.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:68

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Barnes N.	21. Alberton R.
40. Bresolin A.	11. Dupree M.
13. Hollowell J.	77. Fernandes G.
22. Scott D.	0. Jeanzinho
11. Verissimo F.	16. Popovic A.
Substitutes
31. Brandao L.	20. Amorim S.
0. Coelho G.	17. Caua W.
1. Guyton C.	1. Costa A.
30. Hettsheimeir R.	5. da Silva B.
7. Isaac	10. Salsamendi F.
5. Rossetto D.
33. Silveira R.
Coaches
. Hiriart L.	. Todorovic J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, União Corinthians won 4.

In recent matches, União Corinthians has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cearense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, União Corinthians is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, União Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 662:629. (average 82.8:78.6).

Including home matches between the teams, União Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 338:325. (average 84.5:81.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Corinthians
Brazilian NBB
18.12.25	Flamengo - União Corinthians	82:65 ✺
16.12.25	Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians	78:85 ✺
13.12.25	Botafogo - União Corinthians	61:84 ✺
05.12.25	União Corinthians - Minas	71:74 ✺
03.12.25	União Corinthians - Cruzeiro	87:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLW
- Basquete Cearense
Brazilian NBB
18.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Pinheiros	61:108 ✺
15.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Paulistano	77:100 ✺
09.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Osasco	89:82 ✺
06.12.25	Rio Claro - Basquete Cearense	98:95 ✺
04.12.25	Brasília Basquete - Basquete Cearense	105:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
29.12.24	União Corinthians - Basquete Cearense	82:71
18.10.24	Basquete Cearense - União Corinthians	70:79
27.03.24	União Corinthians - Basquete Cearense	85:93
06.12.23	Basquete Cearense - União Corinthians	74:78
14.04.23	União Corinthians - Basquete Cearense	91:75
19.12.22	Basquete Cearense - União Corinthians	83:91
20.02.22	União Corinthians - Basquete Cearense	80:86

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