Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Union Atletica (Montevideo)


	Unión Atlética		Defensor Sporting

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.63
	2.21	1.61
	2.21	1.55	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Atlética
43%

Defensor Sporting
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Atlética has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Atlética than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Unión Atlética - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Ducasse J. (C)	43. Colmenares N.
9. Giano M.	77. Soto F. (C)
1. Prince T.	15. Terra F.
88. Ross I.	21. Wright D.
0. Wilson Q.	13. Zubiaurre M.
Substitutes
6. Abdala T.	9. Antunes M.
10. Astramskas M.	45. Bianchi M.
42. Brisset M.	11. Gomez B.
23. Brun G.	23. MacMullen M.
54. Echeverria L.	00. Metzger T.
31. Lopez A.	7. Rodriguez G.
7. Loriente I.	1. Wilson D.
Coaches
. Fernandez G.	. Brea G.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Unión Atlética may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Defensor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Unión Atlética will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Atlética won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:97.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Unión Atlética
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
03.11.25	Goes - Unión Atlética	78:62 ✺
29.10.25	Unión Atlética - Aguada	107:92 ✺
23.10.25	Welcome - Unión Atlética	68:84 ✺
20.10.25	Unión Atlética - Peñarol de Montevideo	59:90 ✺
14.10.25	Cordón - Unión Atlética	84:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLW
- BC Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
04.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	76:92 ✺
31.10.25	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	80:61 ✺
Basketball South American League
25.10.25	Corinthians Paulista - Defensor Sporting	76:81 ✺
24.10.25	Quimsa - Defensor Sporting	78:76 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
20.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Urunday Universitario	97:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
17.11.16	Defensor Sporting - Unión Atlética	97:72

Unión Atlética - Defensor Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide