Match Info

Liga A

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ángel Malvicino (Santa Fe)


	Unión Santa Fe		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.83
	1.92	1.9
	1.88	1.82
	1.9	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
49.3%

Ferro Carril Oeste
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Unión Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Ferro Basquet will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferro Basquet: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferro Basquet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Unión Santa Fe (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, 1st Half - Unión Santa Fe (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ferro Basquet (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Balbi F.	25. Bettiga L.
17. Basabe E.	14. Diez A.
5. Cabrera M.	4. Lezcano E.
3. Guerra Y.	6. Martinez J.
33. Vogt C.	2. Torresi J.
Substitutes
12. Akwuba T.	5. Defelippo J.
8. Chamorro F.	12. Gallegos R.
7. Elias G.	23. Peacock A.
14. Ferrari A.	10. Pinero F.
18. Queiros F.	9. Rodriguez F.
20. Spajic P.	0. Tamagusuku T.
21. Spies P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe won 2.

Unión Santa Fe is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferro Basquet's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 802:858. (average 80.2:85.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Santa Fe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 338:351. (average 84.5:87.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
12	Ferro	2	1	1	165:171	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe Basketball
Argentinian LNB
08.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Unión Santa Fe	90:81 ✺
06.04.26	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	74:68 ✺
04.04.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Unión Santa Fe	85:83 ✺
28.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Obras Sanitarias	76:79 ✺
26.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Regatas Corrientes	83:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ferro Carril Oeste Basquet
Argentinian LNB
11.04.26	Boca Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	81:90 ✺
08.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Oberá TC	75:76 ✺
05.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Argentino	100:74 ✺
Argentinian Copa Islas Malvinas
02.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Obras Sanitarias	78:90 ✺
01.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Ferro Carril Oeste	91:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
03.12.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Unión Santa Fe	98:86
09.04.25	Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste	85:89
16.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Unión Santa Fe	72:77
10.03.24	Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste	96:82
25.01.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Unión Santa Fe	87:72
27.01.23	Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste	85:96
08.12.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Unión Santa Fe	80:78

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