Match Info

Liga Uruguaya - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Urupan (Pando)


	Urupan de Pando		Welcome

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
			Watch
	1.41	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.47	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.38)	2.54 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urupan de Pando
63.6%

Welcome
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urupan de Pando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Welcome has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urupan de Pando than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welcome than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Urupan de Pando - Welcome Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Leites T.	3. Alvarez S.
11. Medina F.	5. Barrera Gustavo .
34. Medina O.	10. Cardozo R.
5. Peacock A.	11. Moglia S. (C)
99. Rusch P.	31. Pena A.
Substitutes
25. Agarbado A. (C)	24. Arevalo A.
2. Amichetti N.	9. Giovanetti F.
88. Goodwin R.	14. Ortiz J. M.
10. Iriarte R.	27. Segui T.
21. Linares N.	7. Silva L.
17. Lissidini M.	34. Sosa F.
7. Previatti R.	55. Viera G.
14. Sacco J.
Coaches
. Esteve A.	. Vallarino J.

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Welcome could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Urupan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Urupan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 257:270 (average 85.7:90).

Including matches at home between the teams Urupan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 92:86

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urupan de Pando
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
01.04.25	Hebraica y Macabi - Urupan de Pando	102:97 OT ✺
18.03.25	Biguá - Urupan de Pando	86:88 ✺
15.03.25	Welcome - Urupan de Pando	85:77 ✺
11.03.25	Urupan de Pando - Trouville Montevideo	85:79 ✺
08.03.25	Urupan de Pando - Urunday Universitario	83:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW
- CA Welcome
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
22.03.25	Biguá - Welcome	124:90 ✺
18.03.25	Trouville Montevideo - Welcome	81:106 ✺
15.03.25	Welcome - Urupan de Pando	85:77 ✺
12.03.25	Welcome - Urunday Universitario	97:90 ✺
09.03.25	Hebraica y Macabi - Welcome	87:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
15.03.25	Welcome - Urupan de Pando	85:77
27.02.25	Welcome - Urupan de Pando	99:88
20.12.24	Urupan de Pando - Welcome	92:86

Urupan de Pando - Welcome: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide