Match Info

SPAIN: LEB ORO - ROUND 4

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Valladolid		Básquet Coruña

	1	2
	2	1.7
	1.85	1.82	Watch
	1.88	1.85
	1.91	1.8
	1.92	1.84
	1.89	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
48.6%

Básquet Coruña
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid's performance.

Básquet Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Básquet Coruña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Básquet Coruña than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Básquet Coruña could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valladolid - Básquet Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 2.

Recent matches Valladolid is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Básquet Coruña is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1050-1083.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 464-460.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Ciudad de Valladolid
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
20.10.23	CB Lucentum Alicante - Valladolid	54:75 ✺
14.10.23	Valladolid - Menorca	70:66 ✺
06.10.23	Burgos - Valladolid	92:86 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
29.09.23	Valladolid - Gipuzkoa Basket	85:84 OT ✺
26.09.23	Cáceres CB - Valladolid	76:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWL
- Básquet Coruña
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
22.10.23	Básquet Coruña - Estela	119:90 ✺
15.10.23	Básquet Coruña - CB Lucentum Alicante	79:74 ✺
06.10.23	Real Betis - Básquet Coruña	77:81 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.23	Básquet Coruña - Burgos	82:68 ✺
15.09.23	Obradoiro CAB - Básquet Coruña	88:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.03.23	Básquet Coruña - Valladolid	102:71
05.11.22	Valladolid - Básquet Coruña	73:64
02.02.22	Valladolid - Básquet Coruña	78:100
12.10.21	Básquet Coruña - Valladolid	80:81
03.01.21	Valladolid - Básquet Coruña	67:78
24.10.20	Básquet Coruña - Valladolid	67:80
15.12.19	Básquet Coruña - Valladolid	83:81

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