Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Origo-hollin Hlidarenda (Reykjavík)


	Valur		Njarðvík

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2.05	Watch
	1.53	2.36
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.5	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
58.5%

Njarðvík
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Njarðvík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Valur - Njarðvík Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 45.5, 1Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, OT - Valur (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Acox K. (C)	5. Alexandersson V. (C)
7. Booker F.	9. Averette B.
10. Jonsson K.	2. Calver J. d. A. A.
21. Lawson C.	23. Lautier-Ogunleye D.
5. Nikolic L.	67. Milka D.
Substitutes
20. Marteinn E.	15. Gunnarsson B.
18. Sigurdarson K.	7. Hearn K. M.
3. Stefansson H.	13. Isaksson S.
9. Svavarsson O.	19. Johannesson G.
11. Svavarsson V.	18. Magnusson S.
24. Woods K.	11. Stefansson S.
	3. Unnarsson B.
Coaches
. Stefansson F.	. Erlingsson R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 3.

Valur is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Njarðvík has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1641:1691. (average 82.1:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 860:903. (average 78.2:82.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
20.11.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Valur	91:99 ✺
14.11.25	Valur - Álftaness	92:80 ✺
06.11.25	Akraness - Valur	81:83 ✺
30.10.25	Valur - Grindavík	55:90 ✺
23.10.25	Thor Thorl - Valur	117:119 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW
- UMF Njarðvíkur Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
20.11.25	Njarðvík - Armann	99:75 ✺
13.11.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Njarðvík	88:97 ✺
06.11.25	Njarðvík - Stjarnan	101:105 ✺
30.10.25	Álftaness - Njarðvík	93:92 ✺
23.10.25	Njarðvík - Tindastóll	98:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
30.01.25	Valur - Njarðvík	88:76
31.10.24	Njarðvík - Valur	101:94
14.05.24	Valur - Njarðvík	85:82
11.05.24	Njarðvík - Valur	91:88
07.05.24	Valur - Njarðvík	68:67
03.05.24	Njarðvík - Valur	69:78
29.04.24	Valur - Njarðvík	84:105

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