Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Origo-hollin Hlidarenda (Reykjavík)


	Valur		Stjarnan

	1	2
	2.10	1.62
	2.68	1.38
	2.9	1.36
	2.92	1.34	Watch
	2.85	1.34
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.39)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
34.4%

Stjarnan
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Valur - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 80.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Bertone P.	5. Henningsson H.
2. Freyr A.	31. Price A.
10. Jonsson K.	15. Stajcic M.
23. Lautier-Ogunleye D.	8. Steinarsson A.
3. Stefansson H.	9. Urkis A.
Substitutes
21. Bowen C.	7. Arnarson H.
4. Geirsson S.	21. Birnisson B. S.
5. Svalason A.	22. Hjartarson A. H.
8. Svavarsson O.	17. Jonsson B.
11. Svavarsson V.	10. Leifsson J.
1. Thordarson O.	24. Ludviksson V. J.
	35. Rafnarsson S.
Coaches
. Stefansson F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.

Stjarnan is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Valur has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1703:1683 (averaging 85.2:84.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Valur against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 782:785 goals (averaging 86.9:87.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Valur	1	1	0	90:77	2
10	Stjarnan	1	0	1	77:90	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.05.26	Grindavík - Valur	109:82 ✺
04.05.26	Valur - Grindavík	85:79 ✺
30.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	93:67 ✺
26.04.26	Valur - Grindavík	79:72 ✺
22.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	82:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Stjarnan Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.05.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	100:91 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	97:103 ✺
29.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	103:88 ✺
25.04.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	105:103 OT ✺
21.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	95:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
08.01.26	Valur - Stjarnan	102:105
11.10.25	Stjarnan - Valur	94:91
05.01.25	Valur - Stjarnan	83:79
04.10.24	Stjarnan - Valur	95:81
02.02.24	Stjarnan - Valur	81:85
Icelandic Cup Basketball
21.01.24	Stjarnan - Valur	84:79
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
02.11.23	Valur - Stjarnan	77:86

Valur - Stjarnan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide