Match Info

LPB - Round 21

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque das Camélias (Porto)


	Vasco Da Gama Porto		Vitória de Guimarães

	1	2
	2.03	1.65	Watch
	2.06	1.65
	2.06	1.66
	2.15	1.62
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco Da Gama Porto
44.1%

Vitória de Guimarães
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco Da Gama Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco Da Gama Porto than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Vasco Da Gama Porto - Vitória de Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Akoi Y.	3. Araujo B.
10. Ferreira F.	0. Jenkins C.
2. Lindsey L.	5. Peek S.
3. McLean Z.	24. Sangha J.
11. Nobre R. (C)	6. Verde S.
Substitutes
9. Ambrosio F.	11. Baker J.
24. Clancey S.	15. Bastos P. (C)
8. Coutinho I.	8. Costa R.
34. Domingues K.	46. Gewert F.
46. Gomes A.	2. Jacobs M.
45. Santos D.	7. Mendes A.
7. Vieira P.	14. Pinto P.
Coaches
. Freitas N.	. Miranda M.

Preview

In recent matches, Vasco Da Gama has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guimarães has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vasco Da Gama won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 260:287. (average 86.7:95.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vasco Da Gama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 88:122.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Vitoria	1	1	0	83:78	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco Da Gama Porto
Portuguese LPB
11.04.26	Imortal - Vasco Da Gama Porto	95:79 ✺
04.04.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Sporting Lisbon	81:112 ✺
28.03.26	Oliveirense - Vasco Da Gama Porto	109:89 ✺
21.03.26	CAQ Queluz - Vasco Da Gama Porto	110:114 ✺
14.03.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Esgueira	98:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese LPB
11.04.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	105:106 ✺
04.04.26	Braga - Vitória de Guimarães	101:84 ✺
28.03.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Galitos Barreiro	84:86 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.03.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Ovarense	75:81 ✺
Portuguese LPB
21.03.26	Ovarense - Vitória de Guimarães	75:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
04.01.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Vasco Da Gama Porto	84:88
Club Friendly Basketball
27.09.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Vasco Da Gama Porto	81:84
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Vitória de Guimarães	88:122

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