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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 34.8%
Caxias do Sul 65.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.
Caxias do Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caxias do Sul's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caxias do Sul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:77
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
10. Basilio G.
22. Oliveira T.
24. Conceicao S.
44. Ruiz Diaz F.
27. Elias Oliveira
19. Silva H.
12. Mathias T.
24. Stallworth S.
11. Nunes P.
10. Vezaro F.
Substitutes
7. Fortunato J.
5. Augusto
23. Honorato I.
13. Guilherme
19. Magna G.
34. Luan
30. Martins I.
14. Miguel Santos
4. Vernizz A.
16. Rafa Oliveira
14. Zibecchi L.
11. Tiago
Coaches
. Figueiro L.
. Barbosa R.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
Recent form of Vasco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Caxias do Sul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Caxias do Sul will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 577:617. (average 72.1:77.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 285:307. (average 71.3:76.8).
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Basilio G. 
Ruiz Diaz F. 
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