Match Info

NBB

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sao Januario Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: de Moraes G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2


	Vasco da Gama		União Corinthians

	1	2
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.36	Watch
	3.03	1.37
	2.81	1.38
	2.7	1.44
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	3	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.56)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
33.3%

União Corinthians
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

União Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). União Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - União Corinthians (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 7 - 87.5%). União Corinthians (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Basilio G.	34. Barnes N.
24. Conceicao S.	40. Bresolin A.
27. Elias Oliveira	13. Hollowell J.
12. Mathias T.	22. Scott D.
11. Nunes P.	11. Verissimo F.
Substitutes
7. Fortunato J.	31. Brandao L.
23. Honorato I.	1. Guyton C.
19. Magna G.	30. Hettsheimeir R.
30. Martins I.	7. Isaac
4. Vernizz A.	5. Rossetto D.
14. Zibecchi L.	33. Silveira R.
Coaches
. Figueiro L.	. Hiriart L.

Preview

Recent form of Vasco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

União Corinthians has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

União Corinthians will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 313:307. (average 78.3:76.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 168:158. (average 84:79).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
13.12.25	Pinheiros - Vasco da Gama	84:70 ✺
11.12.25	Paulistano - Vasco da Gama	65:69 ✺
25.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Rio Claro	81:84 ✺
23.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Brasília Basquete	59:81 ✺
17.11.25	Franca - Vasco da Gama	103:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLL
- União Corinthians
Brazilian NBB
13.12.25	Botafogo - União Corinthians	61:84 ✺
05.12.25	União Corinthians - Minas	71:74 ✺
03.12.25	União Corinthians - Cruzeiro	87:76 ✺
23.11.25	Osasco - União Corinthians	79:76 ✺
21.11.25	Mogi - União Corinthians	101:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
06.02.25	União Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	84:71
09.11.24	Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians	79:81
22.01.24	Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians	89:77
30.10.23	União Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	65:74

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