Match Info

NKL

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla (Ukmerge)


	Vilniaus Stekas		Alytaus Alytus

	1	2
	1.34	2.85	Watch
	1.29	3.19
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.36	2.88
	1.34	2.99
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	3.01 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vilniaus Stekas
69.4%

Alytaus Alytus
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alytaus Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilniaus Stekas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alytaus Alytus than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alytaus Alytus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilniaus Stekas - Alytaus Alytus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Alytus (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alytus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Buskevicius A.	13. Degray R.
3. Edwards R.	14. Norkus J.
5. Simeus W.	11. Scott N.
23. Subotkevic R.	5. Stankevicius T.
22. Urbanavicius K.	1. Waters-Johnson Jr R. C. (C)
Substitutes
10. Brusokas K.	7. Juozaitis J.
33. Bucas D.	30. Pocevicius M.
2. Egbuta J.	8. Smirnov K.
12. Jonuska K. (C)	23. Vaitulevicius O.
26. Morkunas D.
Coaches
. Stankevicius T.	. Jurkunas A.

Preview

Vilniaus Stekas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alytus is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alytus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vilniaus Stekas is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vilniaus Stekas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 358:314. (average 89.5:78.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilniaus Stekas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 188:144. (average 94:72).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Ukmerges Stekas	3	1	2	269:257	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
29.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vilniaus Stekas	78:63 ✺
27.01.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Jurbarkas-Karys	71:88 ✺
24.01.26	Omega Tauras - Vilniaus Stekas	85:90 ✺
22.01.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Telšiai	94:91 OT ✺
17.01.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Sūduva	54:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWWL
- Alytaus Alytus
Lietuvos NKL
31.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Alytaus Alytus	102:95 OT ✺
29.01.26	Šilutė - Alytaus Alytus	98:94 ✺
24.01.26	Mažeikiai - Alytaus Alytus	94:60 ✺
22.01.26	Alytaus Alytus - Kėdainiai	76:104 ✺
18.01.26	Alytaus Alytus - Omega Tauras	81:84 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
27.11.25	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	93:83
08.02.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Alytaus Alytus	109:60
28.11.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Alytaus Alytus	79:84
09.11.24	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	77:87

Upcoming Matches