Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. A - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Palestra Virtus (Marostica)


	Virtus Cagliari		Salerno

	1	2
	1.18	4.01
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 119.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Cagliari
75.1%

Salerno
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Salerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Cagliari than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Cagliari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salerno than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salerno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Cagliari - Salerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:56

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Corda G.	8. Gatti L.
6. El Habbab M.	9. Guerrieri M.
1. Naczk M.	11. Pandori M. (C)
22. Nativi S.	55. Pupkeviciute V.
3. Zieniewska B.	5. Valentino S.
Substitutes
77. Anedda A.	10. Damico A.
10. Gallus A.	27. Jacimovic L.
20. Mattera C.	14. Martines G.
11. Pasolini E.	0. Pappagallo M.
23. Pellegrini Bettoli L. (C)	24. Scolpini N.
21. Tykha S.
Coaches
. Staico F.	. Di Carlo G.

Preview

Recent form of Virtus Cagliari has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salerno has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Virtus Cagliari is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virtus Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 188:170. (average 62.7:56.7).

Including home match between the teams, Virtus Cagliari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 73:59.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Virtus Cagliari W	1	0	1	62:63	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Cagliari
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
17.01.26	Virtus Cagliari - Empoli	57:84 ✺
20.12.25	Virtus Cagliari - San Salvatore Selargius	51:55 ✺
13.12.25	Livorno - Virtus Cagliari	71:66 ✺
07.12.25	Milano Basket Stars - Virtus Cagliari	75:72 OT ✺
02.12.25	Virtus Cagliari - San Giovanni Valdarno	60:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW
- Salerno Basket 92
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
17.01.26	Salerno - San Salvatore Selargius	41:70 ✺
10.01.26	Viterbo Ants - Salerno	57:53 ✺
20.12.25	Salerno - Empoli	47:79 ✺
14.12.25	Moncalieri - Salerno	65:54 ✺
12.12.25	Torino - Salerno	73:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
18.10.25	Salerno - Virtus Cagliari	49:55
15.03.25	Salerno - Virtus Cagliari	62:60
30.11.24	Virtus Cagliari - Salerno	73:59

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