The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Zagreb 67.5%
Samobor 32.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Samobor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Zagreb than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Zagreb that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samobor than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samobor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
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2
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Virtus Zagreb - Samobor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81
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Preview
Recent results have been tough for Virtus (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Samobor is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Samobor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Virtus carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Virtus has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 270:261 (averaging 90:87 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Virtus against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 177:165 goals (averaging 88.5:82.5 per game).