Match Info

LPB - Round 8

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense (Guimarães)


	Vitória de Guimarães		Braga

	1	2
	2.42	1.46	Watch
	2.35	1.44
	2.4	1.49
	2.5	1.44
	2.47	1.48
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.01)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Guimarães
37.6%

Braga
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória de Guimarães's form might have worsened.

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória de Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vitória de Guimarães - Braga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Araujo B.	3. Bingham II J.
0. Jenkins Ch.	2. Blaylock D.
5. Peek S.	6. Cardoso C.
24. Sangha J.	7. Fofana M.
6. Verde S.	11. Monteiro R.
Substitutes
11. Baker J.	21. Dimanochie S.
15. Bastos P. (C)	5. Moreira A.
8. Costa R.	1. Peixoto M.
77. Freitas D.	39. Pinheiro R.
46. Gewert F.	10. Robinson B.
14. Jenkins C.	33. Sa C.
7. Mendes A.	18. Samuco E. (C)
Coaches
. Miranda M.	. Grenha P.

Preview

In recent matches, Guimarães has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Braga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guimarães may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Braga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Taca de Portugal Basketball
13.12.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	105:106 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães	90:97 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
22.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	83:76 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Ovarense	77:94 ✺
08.11.25	Porto - Vitória de Guimarães	105:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL
- SC Braga Basketball
Taca de Portugal Basketball
12.12.25	Benfica - Braga	81:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Braga - Imortal	83:80 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
22.11.25	Ovarense - Braga	78:84 OT ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	88:74 ✺
09.11.25	Braga - Oliveirense	66:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 49.6 WWWLW

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