Match Info

CBA

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hongshan Arena (Ürümqi)


	Xinjiang Flying Tigers		Guangdong Southern Tigers

	1	2
	2.6	1.45	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.47	1.51
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.89	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.35)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
34.5%

Guangdong Southern Tigers
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xinjiang Flying Tigers's form might have worsened.

Guangdong Southern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Southern Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xinjiang Flying Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Southern Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Guangdong will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xinjiang: 80.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6, OT - Xinjiang (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Xinjiang Flying Tigers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Xinjiang (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Feng Ao	18. Du Runwang
5. Lawson D.	3. Hu Mingxuan
13. Li Yanzhe	22 . McCall T.
4. Monhetaner Yilifulati	10. Queen T.
1. Nutall Z.	28. Wang S.
Substitutes
23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu	5. Chen Jiazheng
36. Haoran Ge	16. Jiao Boqiao
00. Harris K.	0. Sullinger J.
19. Qu Xiaoyu	1. Sumner E.
6. Rui Yang	41. Wang Hongze.
34. Tuxun Aizimaiti	2. Xu Jie
8. Zhaohang Y.	25. Zhang Haojia
Coaches
. Bedev G.	. Feng Du

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 2092:2297. (average 104.6:114.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Xinjiang won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1018:1117. (average 101.8:111.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
03.02.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	59:61 ✺
01.02.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	47:105 ✺
29.01.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	88:68 ✺
27.01.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	98:97 ✺
25.01.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Liaoning Dinosaurs	78:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW
- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
Chinese CBA Club Cup
06.02.26	Shanghai Sharks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	113:104 ✺
CBA
03.02.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shanghai Sharks	84:94 ✺
01.02.26	Ningbo Rockets - Guangdong Southern Tigers	94:81 ✺
28.01.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jilin Northeast Tigers	89:81 ✺
26.01.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang	98:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
10.03.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	87:106
20.10.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	102:95
07.01.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	110:114
15.12.23	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	110:88
05.04.23	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	108:95
28.10.22	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	81:100
20.03.22	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	118:99

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