Match Info

BULGARIA: NBL - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Diana (Yambol)


	Yambol		Levski Sofia

	1	2
	1.2	3.9
	1.25	3.4
	1.28	4.12
	1.28	3.57
	1.29	3.5
	1.28	3.44
	1.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.79)	3.62 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yambol
74.2%

Levski Sofia
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yambol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yambol's performance.

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levski Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yambol than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yambol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levski Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yambol - Levski Sofia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:73

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yambol won 4.

Yambol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Levski is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yambol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Yambol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Yambol won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 1549-1780.

Including matches at home between the teams Yambol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 800-869.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Yambol
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
15.03.24	Spartak Pleven - Yambol	74:65 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
09.03.24	Yambol - Botev Academic	85:77 ✺
06.03.24	Yambol - Minyor	81:68 ✺
02.03.24	Yambol - Beroe	101:84 ✺
16.02.24	Shumen - Yambol	79:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- BC Levski Sofia
Bulgarian NBL
09.03.24	Levski Sofia - Shumen	68:79 ✺
06.03.24	Levski Sofia - Beroe	90:59 ✺
02.03.24	Botev Academic - Levski Sofia	82:91 ✺
16.02.24	Levski Sofia - Chernomorets	79:90 ✺
11.02.24	Minyor - Levski Sofia	59:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
20.01.24	Yambol - Levski Sofia	81:73
17.11.23	Levski Sofia - Yambol	82:93
22.04.23	Levski Sofia - Yambol	82:89
12.02.23	Yambol - Levski Sofia	86:69
11.12.22	Levski Sofia - Yambol	89:67
Club Friendly Basketball
29.09.22	Yambol - Levski Sofia	88:73
Bulgarian NBL
10.04.22	Yambol - Levski Sofia	78:81

Yambol - Levski Sofia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide