Match Info

Basket Liga Women - Round 12

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa (Sosnowiec)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		AZS Lublin

	1	2
	2.03	1.65	Watch
	1.9	1.78	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.03	1.68
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.6)	1.72 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
46.3%

AZS Lublin
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.

AZS Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZS Lublin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZS Lublin than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZS Lublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - AZS Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lublin will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Sosnowiec: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Burliga M.	34. Gatling M.
8. Kuczynska A.	24. Slocum D.
9. Pyka M. (C)	10. Stankovic D.
25. Reese C.	95. Wnorowska K.
1. Taylor S.	7. Wojtala A.
Substitutes
24. Jackowska E.	91. Adamczuk J.
96. Klobukowska N.	3. Morawiec A.
32. Kurach N.	97. Rakowska J.
97. Micek N.	21. Ryan R. (C)
2. Niedzwiedzka K.	90. Ullmann D.
7. Tadic M.
Coaches
. Gliniak P.	. Kowalewski K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lublin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Lublin has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1226:1336. (average 72.1:78.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 577:618. (average 72.1:77.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec Basketball Women
Polish Basket Liga Women
20.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	93:77 ✺
Eurocup Women
17.12.25	Keltern - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	79:80 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
13.12.25	Energa Toruń - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	69:83 ✺
Eurocup Women
10.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Keltern	83:75 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
06.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	73:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWL
- AZS Lublin
Polish Basket Liga Women
21.12.25	Wisła Kraków - AZS Lublin	79:72 ✺
Eurocup Women
18.12.25	AZS Lublin - Zabiny Brno	58:81 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
13.12.25	Jelenia Góra - AZS Lublin	56:74 ✺
Eurocup Women
11.12.25	Zabiny Brno - AZS Lublin	51:92 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
06.12.25	Gorzów Wielkopolski - AZS Lublin	91:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga Women
05.10.25	AZS Lublin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	84:76
Polish Cup Basketball Women
24.01.25	AZS Lublin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	86:83
Polish Basket Liga Women
29.12.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - AZS Lublin	80:78
13.10.24	AZS Lublin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	85:80
Polish Cup Basketball Women
03.02.24	AZS Lublin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	79:72
Polish Basket Liga Women
28.01.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - AZS Lublin	64:80
26.11.23	AZS Lublin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	66:71

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