Match Info

Basket Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa (Sosnowiec)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Arka Gdynia

	1	2
	1.01	17
	1	18
	1.12	4.3
	1.17	4.31	Watch
	1.02	10.5
	1.01	10.7
	1.01	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.32)	11.4 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
91.6%

Arka Gdynia
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie Sosnowiec's performance.

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagłębie Sosnowiec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:75

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Burliga M.	21. Jakubiuk A.
8. Kuczynska A.	93. Maj K.
9. Pyka M. (C)	91. Ulan K.
25. Reese C.	41. Wrzesinski B. (C)
1. Taylor S.	94. Zalewska W.
Substitutes
24. Jackowska E.	92. Maj A.
96. Klobukowska N.	96. Szer W.
32. Kurach N.	95. Wysocka J.
97. Micek N.
2. Niedzwiedzka K.
7. Tadic M.
Coaches
. Gliniak P.	. Zibarts M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arka Gdynia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zagłębie Sosnowiec is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1380:1686. (average 69:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 607:746. (average 67.4:82.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec Basketball Women
Eurocup Women
17.12.25	Keltern - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	79:80 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
13.12.25	Energa Toruń - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	69:83 ✺
Eurocup Women
10.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Keltern	83:75 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
06.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	73:86 ✺
03.12.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	87:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWLW
- Arka Gdynia Basketball Women
Eurocup Women
17.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Royal Castors Braine	54:91 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
13.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	83:91 ✺
Eurocup Women
10.12.25	Royal Castors Braine - Arka Gdynia	80:73 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
07.12.25	Jelenia Góra - Arka Gdynia	92:126 ✺
03.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Gorzów Wielkopolski	83:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga Women
29.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	65:78
27.03.25	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	92:76
26.03.25	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	77:60
18.01.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	66:81
16.11.24	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	77:82
07.01.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	61:93
29.10.23	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	83:63

Upcoming Matches