Match Info

Euroleague Women - First stage

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pabellon Principe Felipe (Zaragoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Movistar Plus+


	Zaragoza		CBK Mersin

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	1.16	4.8
	1.08	5.8
	1.40	2.55	Watch
	1.16	5.04
	1.22	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (2.75)	3.93 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
72.9%

CBK Mersin
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zaragoza's performance.

CBK Mersin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CBK Mersin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-38.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CBK Mersin than the current prediction. (+38.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CBK Mersin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zaragoza - CBK Mersin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +8.5, OT - Zaragoza (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Fingall N.	22. Burke K.
5. Hempe M.	5. Harma A.
4. Ortiz M. (C)	12. Juskaite L.
13. Pueyo H.	3. Kurtulmus M.
8. Vorackova V.	35. Vanloo J.
Substitutes
3. Bankole O.	6. Akbas B.
10. Flores L.	10. Atas S. (C)
31. Gueye A.	15. Hayes T.
20. Hermosa N.	32. Mompremier B.
0. Leite C.	1. Tonguc S.
33. Mawuli S.	33. Ural E.
16. Oma H.

Preview

Zaragoza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

CBK Mersin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

CBK Mersin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zaragoza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 261:293. (average 65.3:73.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 57:56.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDB Zaragoza
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
23.11.25	Estepona - Zaragoza	70:75 ✺
06.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Zaragoza	85:97 ✺
Euroleague Women
04.11.25	Venezia - Zaragoza	68:61 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
01.11.25	Zaragoza - Uni Girona	77:72 ✺
Euroleague Women
29.10.25	Zaragoza - Basket Landes	63:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- CBK Mersin
Turkish Basketball League Women
22.11.25	CBK Mersin - Orman Gençlik	80:63 ✺
08.11.25	CBK Mersin - Kayseri Basketbol	83:70 ✺
Euroleague Women
04.11.25	Basket Landes - CBK Mersin	66:55 ✺
Turkish Basketball League Women
02.11.25	Beşiktaş - CBK Mersin	76:81 ✺
Euroleague Women
30.10.25	CBK Mersin - Venezia	83:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague Women
22.10.25	CBK Mersin - Zaragoza	72:79
06.03.24	CBK Mersin - Zaragoza	86:63
28.02.24	Zaragoza - CBK Mersin	57:56
21.02.24	CBK Mersin - Zaragoza	79:62

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