Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Ungmennafélag Álftaness (Álftanes)


	Álftaness		IR Reykjavík

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.48
	1.42	2.66
	1.45	2.51
	1.44	2.7
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	2.59 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Álftaness
64.4%

IR Reykjavík
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Álftaness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

IR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Álftaness than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Álftaness, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IR Reykjavík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Álftaness - IR Reykjavík Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Álftaness (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Álftaness (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Álftaness (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Arnarson H.	3. Falko J.
1. James J.	10. Hjalmarsson H. (C)
10. Jonsson D. (C)	40. Kavas M.
19. Okeke D.	6. Klonaras D.
22. Petursson S.	1. Tsartsidze T.
Substitutes
4. Andronikashvili R.	11. Andrason O.
18. Gudnason D.	31. Gerritsen F.
8. Johannsson I.	8. Gunnlaugsson H.
7. Kristjansson A. D.	12. Halldorsson B.
5. Lewis C.	15. Hjorleifsson S.
17. Nathanaelsson R.	4. Ingolfsson K.
Coaches
. Vilhjalmsson H.	. Ilievski B.

Preview

Álftaness is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

IR Reykjavík's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Álftaness will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Álftaness won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 273:259. (average 91:86.3).

Including home match between the teams, Álftaness won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:87.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Alftanes	1	1	0	111:77	2
5	IR Reykjavik	1	1	0	97:91	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Álftaness Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.03.26	Álftaness - Keflavík	96:106 ✺
20.02.26	Álftaness - Valur	87:108 ✺
12.02.26	KR Basket Reykjavík - Álftaness	87:80 ✺
29.01.26	Njarðvík - Álftaness	101:96 ✺
22.01.26	Álftaness - Akraness	89:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- IR Reykjavík Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.03.26	IR Reykjavík - Akraness	86:83 ✺
19.02.26	Grindavík - IR Reykjavík	100:95 ✺
12.02.26	IR Reykjavík - Thor Thorl	75:78 ✺
29.01.26	Armann - IR Reykjavík	74:109 ✺
22.01.26	IR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	109:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
05.12.25	IR Reykjavík - Álftaness	97:86
30.01.25	IR Reykjavík - Álftaness	75:94
31.10.24	Álftaness - IR Reykjavík	93:87

Álftaness - IR Reykjavík: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide