Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Ungmennafélag Álftaness (Álftanes)


	Álftaness		KR Basket Reykjavík

	1	2
	1.19	3.95
	1.16	4.26
	1.54	2.19	Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.54)	3.54 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Álftaness
73.4%

KR Basket Reykjavík
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Álftaness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Álftaness's performance.

KR Basket Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KR Basket Reykjavík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Álftaness than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Álftaness that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KR Basket Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KR Basket Reykjavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Álftaness - KR Basket Reykjavík Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Álftaness (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 88.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 44.5, 1Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -7.5, OT - Álftaness (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, 1st Half - Álftaness (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Álftaness (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Jonsson D.	1. Arnason T.
7. Murkey A.	12. Doucet K.
19. Okeke D.	15. Hlynsson V.
13. Palsson H. (C)	11. Jonssoon F.
22. Petursson S.	9. Thorbjarnarson T. (C)
Substitutes
12. Arnarson H.	19. Andrason B.
23. Bjornsson A. O.	27. Bragason L.
18. Gudnason D.	13. Hilmarsson O.
1. Hopkins S.	10. Olafsson L.
9. Leifsson A. S.	6. Robertsson R.
8. Lewis C.	0. Thrastarson H.
17. Nathanaelsson R.
Coaches
. Kjartansson K. A.	. Sigurdarson J.

Preview

Álftaness has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Álftaness will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Álftaness won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 195:172. (average 97.5:86).

Including home match between the teams, Álftaness won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 111:100.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Álftaness Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
30.10.25	Álftaness - Njarðvík	93:92 ✺
24.10.25	Akraness - Álftaness	76:74 ✺
16.10.25	Álftaness - Grindavík	70:79 ✺
09.10.25	Thor Thorl - Álftaness	70:89 ✺
02.10.25	Álftaness - Armann	121:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW
- KR Basket Reykjavík
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
30.10.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Akraness	109:75 ✺
23.10.25	Grindavík - KR Basket Reykjavík	78:77 ✺
16.10.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Thor Thorl	95:75 ✺
09.10.25	Armann - KR Basket Reykjavík	89:115 ✺
02.10.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Stjarnan	102:98 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
23.01.25	Álftaness - KR Basket Reykjavík	111:100
24.10.24	KR Basket Reykjavík - Álftaness	72:84

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