Match Info

LKL

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Siauliu arena (Šiauliai)


	Šiauliai		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.74
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.73
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)	1.73 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šiauliai
46.5%

Neptūnas
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Šiauliai - Neptūnas Predictions

Users Predictions: Šiauliai will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Šiauliai will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Baslyk D.	21. Berucka A.
2. Henderson C.	0. Cleary H.
20. McKnight D.	10. Kozys V.
14. Pleikys O.	6. Lomazs R.
11. Vene S.	25. Silins K.
Substitutes
77. Civilis R.	8. Girdziunas M. (C)
8. Kariniauskas V. (C)	2. Kneizys R.
6. Krivas G.	77. Lesciauskas K.
25. Romancenko D.	16. Macijauskas M.
30. Simanic S.	13. Majauskas A.
3. Stanley C.	12. Sakaitis R.
	24. Waterman Z.
Coaches
. Songaila D.	. Petrauskas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šiauliai won 5.

Šiauliai is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neptūnas is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Šiauliai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Šiauliai will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Šiauliai won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1825:1729. (average 91.3:86.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Šiauliai won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 990:909. (average 90:82.6).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.92% Siauliai: 1.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Neptunas	4	2	2	335:326	0.500
4	Siauliai	4	2	2	326:331	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Šiauliai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
18.02.26	Lietkabelis - Šiauliai	75:77 ✺
15.02.26	Šiauliai - Juventus Utena	97:90 ✺
08.02.26	Šiauliai - Gargždai	83:73 ✺
31.01.26	Šiauliai - Juventus Utena	102:108 OT ✺
25.01.26	Jonava - Šiauliai	79:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
22.02.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	73:94 ✺
21.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	119:81 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.02.26	Rytas - Neptūnas	100:95 ✺
Eurocup
11.02.26	Neptūnas - Bahcesehir Koleji	86:91 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	87:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
28.12.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	101:103
02.11.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	89:85
27.04.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	90:95
22.03.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	91:78
25.01.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	80:90
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
27.11.24	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	101:104 OT
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
19.10.24	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	108:103 OT

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