Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League 2 - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gradska sportska dvorana Pecara (Široki Brijeg)

Referee: Lakicevic M. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Široki Brijeg		Ilirija

	1	2
	1.85	1.83
	1.46	2.54
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.53	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)	2.28 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Široki Brijeg
59%

Ilirija
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Široki Brijeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Široki Brijeg's performance.

Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilirija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Široki Brijeg than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Široki Brijeg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilirija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Široki Brijeg - Ilirija Predictions

Users Predictions: Široki Brijeg will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Bilinovac J.	0. Golson V.
10. Hunter A.	15. Jockuch K.
6. Planinic D.	35. Kures L.
30. Rebec J.	11. Mikus M.
12. Skedelj M.	8. Tomazic T.
Substitutes
32. Barisic L.	9. Faganel L.
21. Brala D.	4. Ferme T.
11. Covic J.	23. Nosakhare B.
20. Perkovic M.	2. Padjen M.
2. Strong J.	6. Skorjanc G.
9. Velic J.
44. Vujanovic D.
Coaches
. Bagaric M.	. Modric S.

Preview

Recent matches Široki Brijeg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilirija is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Široki Brijeg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Široki Brijeg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 69:82

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HKK Široki Brijeg
Bosnian Prvenstvo Basketball
08.03.25	Široki Brijeg - Posušje	91:66 ✺
Adriatic League 2
04.03.25	Ilirija - Široki Brijeg	82:69 ✺
Bosnian Prvenstvo Basketball
08.02.25	Široki Brijeg - Orlovik Žepče	68:63 ✺
01.02.25	Bosna - Široki Brijeg	69:62 ✺
Adriatic League 2
29.01.25	Široki Brijeg - Virtus Zagreb	70:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL
- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Liga Basketball
08.03.25	Tajfun Šentjur - Ilirija	77:90 ✺
Adriatic League 2
04.03.25	Ilirija - Široki Brijeg	82:69 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
28.02.25	Ilirija - Škofja Loka	95:67 ✺
Slovenian Cup Basketball
10.02.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Ilirija	86:68 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
06.02.25	Ilirija - Škofja Loka	85:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League 2
04.03.25	Ilirija - Široki Brijeg	82:69

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