Match Info

CFL

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: McMahon Stadium (Calgary, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network


	Calgary Stampeders		Montreal Alouettes

	1	2
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.05	1.8
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.19	1.74
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.76
	2.07	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)	1.76 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Stampeders
46%

Montreal Alouettes
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Stampeders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Stampeders than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Montreal will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:33

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0.

Calgary has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montreal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 454:472. (average 22.7:23.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 274:208. (average 27.4:20.8).

Outrights of CFL for now

Montreal Alouettes: 31.83% Calgary Stampeders: 6.49%

Last Results with these Odds

Calgary Stampeders - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Stampeders
CFL
11.07.26	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	37:30 ✺
02.07.26	Calgary Stampeders - Toronto Argonauts	58:36 ✺
27.06.26	BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders	33:41 ✺
20.06.26	Calgary Stampeders - Saskatchewan Roughriders	37:40 OT ✺
05.06.26	Calgary Stampeders - Winnipeg Blue Bombers	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Montreal Alouettes
CFL
11.07.26	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	37:30 ✺
28.06.26	Montreal Alouettes - Ottawa RedBlacks	37:35 ✺
20.06.26	Edmonton Elks - Montreal Alouettes	32:29 OT ✺
12.06.26	Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts	37:30 ✺
04.06.26	Hamilton Tiger Cats - Montreal Alouettes	27:30 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

CFL
11.07.26	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	37:30
26.09.25	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	38:20
24.07.25	Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes	21:23
14.09.24	Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes	19:19 OT
06.07.24	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	30:26
23.09.23	Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes	11:28
30.07.23	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	25:18

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