Match Info

CFL

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	CBS Sports Network


	Montreal Alouettes		Calgary Stampeders

	1	2
	1.5	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.47	2.83
	1.49	2.47	Watch
	1.46	2.58
	1.54	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)	2.61 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montreal Alouettes
63.6%

Calgary Stampeders
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montreal Alouettes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Calgary Stampeders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Stampeders than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Montreal could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 443:453. (average 22.2:22.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 227:150. (average 25.2:16.7).

Outrights of CFL for now

Montreal Alouettes: 31.83% Calgary Stampeders: 6.49%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montreal Alouettes
CFL
28.06.26	Montreal Alouettes - Ottawa RedBlacks	37:35 ✺
20.06.26	Edmonton Elks - Montreal Alouettes	32:29 OT ✺
12.06.26	Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts	37:30 ✺
04.06.26	Hamilton Tiger Cats - Montreal Alouettes	27:30 OT ✺
29.05.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Montreal Alouettes	27:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Calgary Stampeders
CFL
02.07.26	Calgary Stampeders - Toronto Argonauts	58:36 ✺
27.06.26	BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders	33:41 ✺
20.06.26	Calgary Stampeders - Saskatchewan Roughriders	37:40 OT ✺
05.06.26	Calgary Stampeders - Winnipeg Blue Bombers	28:30 ✺
29.05.26	Edmonton Elks - Calgary Stampeders	18:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

CFL
26.09.25	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	38:20
24.07.25	Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes	21:23
14.09.24	Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes	19:19 OT
06.07.24	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	30:26
23.09.23	Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes	11:28
30.07.23	Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders	25:18
09.06.22	Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes	30:27

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